March 2025 Geopolitical Round Up: Global Tensions and Shifting Alliances
October 7, a provoked attack? Perhaps with the intent to eliminate Hamas? Like in Ukraine, the world must have known what was happening in Gaza (tunnels) and Hamas’ hatred for Israel, but no one was prepared or cared. With all the watchdogs, NGOs, and global political organizations, it seems almost incomprehensible that such a disaster occurred. Yet, when political leaders are attacked for calling for peace , greed seems to overpower goodwill. Is it simply envy, or are there other causes?
With the U.S. President taking over Gaza, one would expect some support, yet relocating people is likely a non-starter. The end result may be building homes for Palestinians—without tunnels. The Jerusalem Post reports that the Arab world and the EU insist Palestinians stay in their homes, but this also means Hamas will remain.
What is China’s long-term plan on military spending? Is it simply for defense? Against whom? Or does China have expansionist ambitions? Some argue for global military spending cuts , but would that require the U.S. to be less aggressive?
Greenland may not be far from joining the U.S., though Denmark has claimed it indefinitely. However, abandonment of Greenland’s people remains a risk.
Remember Syria: Once Assad was ousted, peace was expected, but instead, chaos ensued. Another coup, no real change—only different factions being killed. Democracy is not an easy form of government under Sharia law or anarchy.
United Europe —if the U.S. pays. With EU NATO partners under pressure to increase spending, the question remains: where is the money? Peace costs half as much, and diplomats are abundant.
Canada’s Liberal Party elected Mark Carney to replace Justin Trudeau. A democracy shifts leadership through internal elections, aiming to maintain its global role. European liberals hope he will continue supporting Ukraine, opposing tariffs, and fighting “Nazism.” Here is some support. Canada’s alignment with the EU could push the U.S. toward cooperation with Russia. The U.S. has bought oil from questionable sources before, so why not rare earth elements from Russia? Or is the world better off under a China-Russia-Iran alliance?
Mr. Merz is favored to become the next German Chancellor. With a red/black coalition and Green Party influence, the Alternative for Germany (AfD) remains excluded. As a former BlackRock advisor, will he become Europe’s strongman? For now, the Greens want a piece of the war effort, alongside solar and wind energy expansion, requiring more borrowing.
