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Geopolitical Focus - December, 2024 # 2

December 30, 2024

2025: A Call for Peace Amid Power Struggles and Global Tensions

Is the Ukrainian nightmare coming to an end? While we continue to hear stories of Ukrainian heroes destroying everything Russian, elevating the conflict to assassination is another level. Perhaps we should focus on eliminating the leaders driving the war and replacing them with those seeking peace? Perhaps a vote could end it as well, though by EU standards, a 60:40 vote is only democratic when it aligns with the EU/Western agenda.

After more than two years of grinding conflict, Ukrainians are increasingly weary of the war with Russia. In Gallup’s latest surveys of Ukraine, conducted in August and October 2024, an average of 52% of Ukrainians would like to see their country negotiate an end to the war as soon as possible. Nearly four in 10 Ukrainians (38%) believe their country should keep fighting until victory.

However, if you ask the NATO Secretary General , in the same breath that Ukraine is struggling, he speaks of putting them in a position of strength for negotiation. Burning through 18-year-olds for such goals only adds to the tragedy. Strategic thinkers advocating these plans seem disconnected from the human cost, their delusion underscored by weapons with questionable legality in international contexts.

If NATO were led by Kaja Kallas , NATO troops might already be engaged in the conflict. Pro-war rhetoric from figures like her and Boris Johnson highlights a preference for military solutions over diplomacy. Johnson, whose tenure ended in resignation, epitomized such misguided approaches.

A Russian newspaper questions how the situation escalated so far, while power games from the EU and NATO suggest a broader agenda of Western expansion. Irresponsible posturing on both sides and concerns about Zelenskyy’s increasingly authoritarian tendencies only exacerbate the crisis.

The European Union, while striving for dominance, risks destroying Europe in the process. Self-proclaimed democratic leaders, with questionable records, are rewarded at the expense of EU citizens. Bureaucratic power plays rival autocratic regimes, undermining the principles they claim to uphold.

Elections in Georgia, Austria, and Germany show a troubling trend: the exclusion of popular parties under the guise of protecting democracy. These actions ignore voter will and maintain the status quo, raising concerns about the future of representative governance in Europe.

Elon Musk, often a polarizing figure for the left and green movements, operates on principles that many fail to understand. For Musk, money is merely a tool; his true strength lies in his intelligence. Even figures like Fetterman recognize some positives in his approach, which is clearly not rooted in traditional interests.

"I operate on the physics approach to analysis. You boil things down to the first principles or fundamental truths in a particular area and then you reason up from there." Read here .

Compare Elon Musk to other billionaires like Bloomberg or Mark Cuban. Love him or hate him, Musk remains a unique presence, blending genius with unrelenting ambition. It would have taken governments 25 years to address similar challenges that Musk has tackled efficiently. Are there any comparable efforts near Washington, D.C.?

If you cannot beat them, join them. The U.S. should reconsider its stance on competing militarily with China. The resources spent on proxy wars in Ukraine and defending Israel are dwarfed by China's investments in military power and global influence. President Xi exemplifies leadership with his active presence on global trips, unlike the U.S.'s inconsistent strategies since 2020.

Syria: Will it become part of greater Israel ? Looking at the Middle East, Turkey emerges as a significant power player, leaving Israel isolated. The 1948 British decisions failed to foresee the current challenges. The U.S. struggles with transparency, even in counting soldiers.

Remember the global reaction to Navalny's death? Was he a hero or a tragic figure used by Western media in their propaganda against Putin? Who will the media anoint next? Zelensky is certainly trying hard.

How many peace think tanks exist worldwide? Are they genuine think tanks or simply tools for shaping opinion and representing specific interests?

A final attempt by Blinken to secure a legacy: a ceasefire here, preventing ISIS control of Syria by cooperating with Turkey, but the killing continues. His tenure reflects four years of diplomatic failures, significant expenditures, and a fragmented world—mirroring his administration.

Let us hope that 2025 brings reason, tolerance, and dialogue, leading to peace. Ideology and power struggles have created enough wars worldwide—it is time for change, beginning at home.

Happy New Year.

March 21, 2025
Government shutdown averted, but at what cost for the Democratic party ? Is the new generation of Democrats so ideological that it raises the question of renaming them "Dementor-crats," taking ideology to defy any logic . Their hatred for Elon Musk and Trump runs so deep that they end up contradicting themselves. There is no question that the budget deficit now requires immediate action —not more taxes that suppress overall spending, but policies that fuel economic growth and increase tax revenue. Immigration : With border crossings at near-zero levels , we now have an opportunity to implement a merit-based immigration system to attract the skilled labor needed to support reshoring efforts. While it may not reduce the overall number of immigrants, it would shift budgets—moving from dependency to immediate economic contribution. The skilled labor gap is a documented reality —there is no denying it. The Teachers Union continues to claim it's helping everyone, yet it’s failing to educate children. Anger over budget cuts distracts from years of waste, and most states arguably perform better. The U.S. education system is currently ranked #31 globally , yet—like many Democrats—the union blames everyone else for its failures. Despite ranking #1 in per-pupil spending , the system cannot deliver the diversity and choice families want. So, who are we listening to—parents or unions ? 
March 10, 2025
Tariffs, Dogecoin, and the Popper Paradox: Navigating Trade, Tolerance and much more in 2025
March 9, 2025
Timothy Snyder is an American historian specializing in the history of Central and Eastern Europe, the Soviet Union, and the Holocaust. His most recent analysis displays that " Hate" is not a good advisor .  But if you checked the Democratic representation during the Joint session of Congress , their body language suggested otherwise. As long as the Democrats are represented by "Dinosaurs" like Sanders, Waters, and Pelosi, even their strongest strategists may face challenges. James Carville , who is often outspoken, is shifting in rhetoric. Meanwhile, even a well-placed analyst will not change the overall impression . Her family farm was part of Hygrade Meat Company, founded by her great-grandfather Samuel Slotkin, who emigrated from Minsk in 1900. Hygrade was the original company behind Ball Park Franks , now owned by Tyson Foods . Chris Murphy commented via MoveOn.org but offered no solutions. Mary Trump , a psychologist, has long been a staunch critic of her uncle, frequently warning of the risks he poses. She said she was traumatized by his 2016 election win, fearing that he was uniquely ill-qualified to govern in a crisis. Let's follow all legal challenges for now. The Supreme Court has addressed the USAID ruling . Ultimately, the government will need to navigate these legal hurdles. Imagine: The endgame could be avoiding a Russia–BRICS alliance and instead fostering a Russia–US alliance, which could change the landscape of global peace. Given Russia and China's vast rare earth reserves, integration could be more beneficial than conflict. Gaza remains a focal point, and time will tell how the situation evolves. If diplomatic efforts succeed, we may see meaningful negotiations unfold in the near future.
March 7, 2025
Is Zelensky now running the world ? It appears so after his historic tantrum at the White House. Or is he merely a figure acting on behalf of the EU, Kaja Kallas, and European leaders (France, UK, Germany) to secure a seat at the table for “peace negotiations”? - Most likely, he is maneuvering to ensure continued EU support, including troops, while hoping that the EU convinces the Boltons of the US to send reinforcements as well. - Unfortunately for him, the US halted its advance in Berlin in 1945. Some on both sides may still be unhappy with that outcome. - Had Churchill and a real army continued, they could have pushed the Soviets back then. Note: The longer this conflict drags on, the only real losers are Ukraine and Europe. It's time for the US to explore trade agreements with Russia and South America. Accessing Russia via Alaska or Greenland remains an option. Should Europe be left to the Romans ? A Swiss newspaper featured an image of Mr. Murphy, who went on CNN after the meeting to ridicule JD and the President for their failure. Is he a traitor?
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